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Best NFL prop bets for every Week 1 game

UserPost

12:17 am
February 23, 2023


seestyle

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posts 792

Real, meaningful NFL football finally kicks off this week when the Super Bowl-champion Rams take on the high-flying Bills. From there, we get a full slate of fantastic action this weekend. We have already detailed our for Week 1 now its time for us to pick our favorite prop bets for all 16 games.Lets get right to it and highlight the most intriguing prop bets we think give you the best chance Ben Wallace Jersey of winning some cold, hard cash and kicking the season off right.MORE WEEK 1 NFL BETTING: | All prop bets are from Caesars Sportsbook, unle s otherwise noted Bills at Rams (TNF): Isaiah McKenzie OVER 3.5 receptions (+118)Gabriel Davis deservingly received a ton of hype all summer, which comes as no surprise. On the biggest stage of his life, Buffalo's divisional-round tilt with the Chiefs in January, Davis hauled in 8-of-10 targets for 201 yards and four TDs. Now Davis is the bona fide No. 2 behind Stefon Diggs with Cole Beasley gone and Emmanuel Sanders retired. That bumps McKenzie up to primary slot receiver, which is still a very healthy role in this high-flying offense. While the Rams were above-average against receivers out wide last season, they gave up the most catches (286) and yards (3,964) to slot receivers in the NFL. Davis should hit the OVER on his 59.5 receiving yards prop (-103), but McKenzie's 3.5 catches at +118 presents the superior value.Panthers vs. Browns: Baker Mayfield OVER 1.5 pa sing touchdowns (+126)Well gladly take the plus-odds in the revenge game here, as Mayfield gets to immediately stick it to the Browns for doing him dirty during the offseason. The game script positively favors Mayfield and the Panthers in pretty much every way: its in Carolina, Cleveland will be without QB Deshaun Watson, and every major Panthers offensive weapon will be taking the field this weekend. With stud back Christian McCaffrey capable of catching two TDs himself and top wideout D.J. Moore already developing a rapport with Mayfield, two pa sing TDs seems like a low bar here.WEEK 1 NFL PICKS: | Patriots at Dolphins: Damien Harris to score a TD (-106)Talk about playing the odds! Harris enjoyed a breakout third season in '21, scoring a whopping 15 TDs after scoring just twice his first 12 games as a pro. With 2021 first-round draft pick Mac Jones leading his Dzanan Musa Jersey offense, Bill Belichick seems content with running early and often. That's especially true in the red zone, where Harris carried the ball in 45 of New England's 63 red-zone snaps. My trusty calculator tells me that's a 71.4-percent red-zone touch share! Even if promising second-year back Rhamondre Stevenson gets a usage boost this season, Harris should still receive plenty of scoring opportunities. The Dolphins allowed 16 TDs on the ground last season, including one of Harris's 15 scores. Book it.Eagles at Lions: Jalen Hurts OVER 46.5 rushing yards (-113)This one feels like an Trevor Ariza Jersey early Christmas gift. Hurts should benefit in many ways from the Eagles' addition of stud wideout A.J. Brown. Finally the super-athletic QB has a top-10 receiver to open up the field for him. He won't to run as much, but something tells me Hurts will still gash defenses for plenty of ground yards. When these teams met in 2021, the 24-year-old QB tallied 74 rushing yards on just seven attempts. (Lions defensive coordinator and "Hard Knocks" favorite Aaron Glenn must have been swearing a lot that day.) Hurts recorded over 46.5 rushing yards in nine of his 15 games last season, and defenses can no longer sell out to stop him with Brown running loose. Hurts so good.WEEK 1 NFL PICKS ADVICE: | Ravens at Jets: Mark Andrews to score a TD (+109)The Ravens will be looking to bounce back from a frustrating 2021, hopefully putting injuries and inconsistencies in their rear-view mirror. With Marquise 'Hollywood' Brown now in Arizona, Andrews should easily lead all tight ends in most categories once again this season. Lamar Jackson and company looked Andrews' way a stunning 153 times last year, hooking up 107 times for 1,361 yards and nine scores. He's as sure-handed as they come in the scoring zone, hauling in 8-of-11 targets and producing seven TDs within the 10-yard line last season. Coincidentally, the Jets allowed eight TDs to tight ends last season, tied for fifth most in the league. Oddsmakers give Baltimore an implied total of about 26 points, and Ravens running back JK Dobbins (knee) still appears to be le s than 100 percent. Andrews scoring feels like a lock.49ers at Bears: Deebo Samuel to score a TD (+111)We very nearly selected a Trey Lance rushing prop here because that feels more exciting, but the Bears were surprisingly good at containing QB scrambles last season. Where Chicago struggled — and should struggle even more with pa s-rushing stud Khalil Mack no longer in the Chi — was limiting pa sing touchdowns. The Bears allowed 23 scores through the air in 2021, second-most behind Arizona. You could go with Brandon Aiyuk's TD prop (+195), but your odds and value would be better with Deebo. In his breakout third season, Samuel led the NFL in yards per catch (18.2) and scored 14 TDs, eight on the ground and six through the air. PFF ranks Chicago dead-last in its and second-worst in its . Enjoy the Deebo feast.Colts at Texans: Bob Lanier Jersey Jonathan Taylor OVER 97.5 rushing yards (-117)This may seem like chalk, but chalk wins you money a lot of the time. With these odds, how can we not make this our best prop bet of the game? The Texans still stink, with PFF as the second-worst roster in the NFL. Taylor gashed Houston for 145 rushing yards in Week 6 last season (netting 10.4 yards per carry) and then again for 143 in Week 13. This is candy-from-baby territory.Jaguars at Commanders: Terry McLaurin to score a TD (+160)McLaurin had a down year by his standards in 2021, finishing with five TDs and just over 1,000 yards receiving. That's still not awful considering Taylor Heinicke was the one throwing him the ball the vast majority of the season. Now Scary Terry gets a considerable upgrade at QB with Carson Wentz coming over from Indy. Say what you will about Wentz, but when healthy he's an above-average deep-ball pa ser. He should produce immediate results for Washington's promising young core of skill players, starting this week against a rebuilding Jaguars defense. Jacksonville allowed 17 wide receiver TDs in 17 games last season. That, combined with +160 odds, is all Killian Hayes Jersey we need to know to take some action here.Saints at Falcons: Alternate line Saints -13.5 (+227)I don't think the Saints will simply win this divisional season-opener I think they will run away with it. Oddsmakers always seem more generous to weak teams in the first week of the season, perhaps luring in new bettors in hopes they will stick around all season. Regardle s of the motivating factors behind New Orleans -6.5 spread, it's ludicrous. Last year, the Saints had a great defense, which got even better with safety Ty


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